There’s a lot of uncertainty in today’s economy, but one thing is certain: The Federal Reserve isn’t planning to lower interest rates before the spring homebuying season. If you’re in the market for a new home, average mortgage rates are projected to stay above 6% for a while.
At its meeting on March 19, the Fed is expected to continue its pause on interest rate cuts to monitor the economic impact of President Trump’s tariffs, immigration policies and federal layoffs. That would keep mortgage interest rates — which are sensitive to fiscal policy and economic growth — higher for longer.
TAX SOFTWARE DEALS OF THE WEEK
Deals are selected by the CNET Group commerce team, and may be unrelated to this article.
“Borrowing costs are important to prospective homebuyers,” said Ali Wolf, chief economist at Zonda and New Home Source. Cheaper interest rates make financing a home more appealing, opening up the market to first-time buyers as well as existing homeowners seeking to move.
The “wait and see” approach of policymakers isn’t entirely to blame for an unaffordable housing market, which remains plagued by limited inventory and steep home prices. For better or worse, the Fed’s relationship to home loan rates isn’t direct or immediate, either. “While the Fed certainly can influence mortgage rates, investors are the true movers,” said Wolf.
When it comes to the mortgage market, what the central bank says matters more than what it does. On Wednesday, investors and bond market traders will be on the lookout for the Fed’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which outlines future monetary policy based on economic growth, inflation and the job market.
“If the Fed communicates any kind of shift in their economic projections or the future path of short-term rates, mortgage rates can fluctuate,” said Wolf. For example, bond yields and mortgage rates could increase if Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals concerns about rising inflationary pressures. But mortgage rates could drop if Powell speaks about heightened recession risks or a slowing economy.
Read more: Fact Check: Trump Doesn’t Have the Power to Force Lower Interest Rates
How does the Fed influence mortgage rates?
The Fed sets and oversees US monetary policy under a dual mandate to maintain price stability and maximum employment. It does this largely by adjusting the federal funds rate, the rate at which banks borrow and lend their money.
When the economy is in a slump or downturn, the Fed reduces interest rates to stimulate consumer spending and propel growth, as it did during the COVID-19 pandemic.
In an inflationary environment, the Fed raises interest rates to slow economic growth. For example, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by more than five percentage points between early 2022 and mid-2023 to combat inflation by curbing consumer borrowing and spending.
Though the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates, altering the price of credit causes a slow domino effect on mortgage rates and the broader housing market. Banks typically pass along the Fed’s rate hikes or cuts to consumers through longer-term loans, including home loans.
Because mortgage rates respond to several economic factors (see below), it’s not uncommon for the federal funds rate and mortgage rates to move in different directions for some time.
Read more: Why Labor Data Matters for Mortgage Rates and the Fed
How will Fed rate cuts affect mortgage rates?
In 2024, the Fed slashed interest rates three times for a total of one percentage point. At the start of 2025, it held them steady to “carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks.” The Trump administration’s economic agenda and trade wars, expected to fuel price growth at a time when inflation remains sticky, continue to cloud the outlook for rate reductions.
Though the Fed is currently projecting two 0.25% cuts in 2025, that could change this week. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors are betting on the next rate cut in June or July. For the Fed to resume lowering interest rates, however, policymakers would need to see an ongoing decline in inflation or a rapid deterioration of the labor market.
Today’s turbulent political and economic environment is already sparking concerns among investors that the US may be headed toward a recession. Over the last month, the stock market has plunged, mass layoffs have hit public and private sectors, households have cut spending and consumer confidence has slumped.
Wolf said a dramatically cooling economy or a further souring of consumer, business, and investor sentiment could push mortgage rates lower. However, mortgage rate movement is always volatile, and the dips won’t be drastic. Most housing market experts see average 30-year fixed rates staying between 6% and 7% throughout most of 2025.
Though mortgage rates typically fall during tough economic times, a recession won’t lead to a more affordable or accessible housing market. If US families are struggling with the impact of higher prices and decreased purchasing power, not to mention a lack of stable employment, they’ll be less likely to buy homes.
“Consumers need to feel comfortable in their financial well-being to make the largest purchase of their lives,” said Wolf.
What other factors affect mortgage rates?
Mortgage rates move around for many of the same reasons home prices do: supply, demand, inflation and even the employment rate.
Personal factors, such as a homebuyer’s credit score, down payment and home loan amount, also determine one’s individual mortgage rate. Different loan types and terms also have varying interest rates.
Policy changes: When the Fed adjusts the federal funds rate, it affects many aspects of the economy, including mortgage rates. The federal funds rate affects how much it costs banks to borrow money, which in turn affects what banks charge consumers to make a profit.
Inflation: Generally, when inflation is high, mortgage rates tend to be high. Because inflation chips away at purchasing power, lenders set higher interest rates on loans to make up for that loss and ensure a profit.
Supply and demand: When demand for mortgages is high, lenders tend to raise interest rates. This is because they have only so much capital to lend out in the form of home loans. Conversely, when demand for mortgages is low, lenders tend to slash interest rates to attract borrowers.
Bond market activity: Mortgage lenders peg fixed interest rates, like fixed-rate mortgages, to bond rates. Mortgage bonds, also called mortgage-backed securities, are bundles of mortgages sold to investors and are closely tied to the 10-year Treasury. When bond interest rates are high, the bond has less value on the market where investors buy and sell securities, causing mortgage interest rates to go up.
Other key indicators: Employment patterns and other aspects of the economy that affect investor confidence and consumer spending and borrowing also influence mortgage rates. For instance, a strong jobs report and a robust economy could indicate greater demand for housing, which can put upward pressure on mortgage rates. When the economy slows and unemployment is high, mortgage rates tend to be lower.
Is now a good time to get a mortgage?
Even though timing is everything in the mortgage market, you can’t control what the Fed does. “Forecasting interest rates is nearly impossible in today’s market,” said Wolf.
Regardless of the economy, the most important thing when shopping for a mortgage is to make sure you can comfortably afford your monthly payments.
More homebuying advice
ADVERTISEMENT:
Informasi mengenai KING SLOT, Segera Daftar Bersama king selot terbaik dan terpercaya no satu di Indonesia. Boleh mendaftar melalui sini king slot serta memberikan hasil kembali yang paling tinggi saat sekarang ini hanyalah KING SLOT paling gacor, gilak dan gaco saat sekarang di Indonesia melalui program return tinggi di kingselot serta pg king slot
suara88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://suara88.biz/
sumo7777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sumo7777.com/
supermoney888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://supermoney888.biz/
teratai88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://teratai88.biz/
thor88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://thor88.biz/
togelhk88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://togelhk88.net/
topjitu88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://topjitu88.net/
totosloto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://totosloto88.com/
trisula888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://trisula888.biz/
udangbet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://udangbet88.net/
via88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://via88.biz/
virusjp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://virusjp88.net/
warga888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://warga888.biz/
waw88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://waw88.biz/
winjitu88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://winjitu88.net/
wisdom88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://wisdom88.biz/
wnitogel88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://wnitogel88.com/
yoyo888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://yoyo888.biz/
validtoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://validtoto88.com/
sule999 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sule999.com/
sule88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sule88.org/
ss888bet permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ss888bet.com/
sia77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sia77.info/
seluang88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://seluang88.com/
satu88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://satu88.biz/
satu777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://satu777.asia/
rp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rp88.biz/
rp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rp88.asia/
rp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rp77.live/
qiuqiu88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://qiuqiu88.biz/
pt88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pt88.org/
pt77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pt77.info/
produk88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://produk88.asia/
mt88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mt88.org/
mt77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mt77.biz/
menang66 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://menang66.biz/
latobet888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://latobet888.org/
kedai96 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kedai96.org/
kedai188 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kedai188.biz/
ids88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ids88.biz/
hp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://hp88.org/
hp77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://hp77.org/
gm88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gm88.asia/
gm77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gm77.net/
final888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://final888.org/
duit88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://duit88.asia/
duit168 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://duit168.biz/
divisi88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://divisi88.org/
dewi500 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dewi500.biz/
devil88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://devil88.info/
cuputoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cuputoto88.com/
cukongbet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cukongbet88.asia/
bom888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://bom888.biz/
bintaro888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://bintaro888.info/
askasino88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://askasino88.org/
999aset permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://999aset.com/
afb77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://afb77.biz/
aset99 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://aset99.biz/
bendera77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://bendera77.biz/
bendera888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://bendera888.com/
coco88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://coco88.org/
cuma77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cuma77.biz/
cuma88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cuma88.org/
dwv88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dwv88.org/
fafajp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://fafajp88.com/
gemar88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gemar88.biz/
gocap88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gocap88.info/
gocaptoto permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gocaptoto.asia/
hakabet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://hakabet88.com/
hwtoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://hwtoto88.org/
ina77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ina77.biz/
ina88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ina88.info/
jingga8888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jingga8888.com/
juragan777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://juragan777.asia/
kastil77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kastil77.info/
kebo888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kebo888.biz/
kkwin77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kkwin77.com/
kokoslot88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kokoslot88.asia/
luckydf88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://luckydf88.org/
microstar888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://microstar888.biz/
monperatoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://monperatoto88.com/
mpo1122 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mpo1122.biz/
mpo122 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mpo122.biz/
mpopelangi88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mpopelangi88.com/
pamanslot88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pamanslot88.biz/
panel88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://panel88.org/
paragon77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://paragon77.biz/
paragon888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://paragon888.info/
pion77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pion77.biz/
prada88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://prada88.asia/
prada888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://prada888.com/
qqslot88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://qqslot88slot.com/
rejekibet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rejekibet88.com/
rezekibet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rezekibet88.org/
sensa77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sensa77.biz/
sensa888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sensa888.biz/
singajp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://singajp88.com/
sr77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sr77.org/
sr88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sr88.org/
surya77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surya77.biz/
surya88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surya88.asia/
tajir77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://tajir77.info/
tajir88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://tajir88.biz/
toto122 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://toto122.com/
toto123 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://toto123.biz/
uangvip88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://uangvip88.com/
wajik77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://wajik77.asia/
777neko permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://777neko.org/
88judi permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://88judi.net/
99judi permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://99judi.org/
abcslot88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://abcslot88.asia/
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
situs slot terbaru
slot terbaru
